Nfl Season Win Totals
NFL Win Totals are one of the most popular future wagers and the odds for the upcoming 2020 regular season have been posted for all 32 teams.
The 2019 NFL campaign saw 10 teams post double-digit victories and six of those teams posted 12 wins while another four had 13 victories or more.
NFL win totals update: 7 bets undecided heading into Week 16. Find line reports, best bets, and subscribe to push notifications in the Betting News section. Somehow, this wacky NFL season is.
The two highest NFL win totals come from the AFC as the Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs are listed at 11.5 victories for the 2020 season. The Chiefs are coming off a 12–4 season in spite of star quarterback Patrick Mahomes missing two games due to injury.
Right next to Kansas City is the Baltimore Ravens, who won a league-best 14 games in 2019. The Ravens are currently listed at 11.5 wins for 2020 as Baltimore last won at least 11 games in back-to-back seasons in 2010 and 2011.
2020 NFL Contenders to Watch
- Baltimore Ravens. Kansas City Chiefs. New Orleans Saints. San Francisco 49ers. Philadelphia Eagles. Pittsburgh Steelers. Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
- NFL Season Win Totals are popular season long bets that see bettors in the United States attempt to predict the number of wins a team may have at the end of a season. Sportsbooks look at a whole load of different factors when determining odds, including recent team performance, the strength of the squad (how many new players did they pick up in the draft) as well as a team’s upcoming schedule.
(Based on 2020 Win Totals Odds)
- Kansas City Chiefs 11.5
- Baltimore Ravens 11.5
- San Francisco 49ers 10.5
- New Orleans Saints 10.5
- Dallas Cowboys 10
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9.5
- Seattle Seahawks 9.5
- Indianapolis Colts 9.5
- Philadelphia Eagles 9.5
- Pittsburgh Steelers 9.5
NFL Win Totals
Listed below are the 2020 NFL Win Totals in both Ascending and Alphabetical order.
2020 NFL Win Totals (Ascending Order)TeamWinsKansas City Chiefs11.5Baltimore Ravens11.5San Francisco 49ers10.5New Orleans Saints10.5Dallas Cowboys10Tampa Bay Buccaneers9.5Seattle Seahawks9.5Indianapolis Colts9.5Philadelphia Eagles9.5Pittsburgh Steelers9.5Buffalo Bills9Minnesota Vikings9New England Patriots9Green Bay Packers8.5Cleveland Browns8.5Los Angeles Rams8.5Tennessee Titans8.5Chicago Bears8Los Angeles Chargers8Arizona Cardinals7.5Atlanta Falcons7.5Denver Broncos7.5Houston Texans7.5Las Vegas Raiders7.5Detroit Lions7New York Giants6.5New York Jets6.5Miami Dolphins6Carolina Panthers5.5Cincinnati Bengals5.5Washington Football Team5Jacksonville Jaguars4.5
2020 NFL Win Totals (Alphabetical Order)TeamWinsArizona Cardinals7.5Atlanta Falcons7.5Baltimore Ravens11.5Buffalo Bills9Carolina Panthers5.5Chicago Bears8Cincinnati Bengals5.5Cleveland Browns8.5Dallas Cowboys10Denver Broncos7.5Detroit Lions7Green Bay Packers8.5Houston Texans7.5Indianapolis Colts9.5Jacksonville Jaguars4.5Kansas City Chiefs11.5Las Vegas Raiders7.5Los Angeles Chargers8Los Angeles Rams8.5Miami Dolphins6Minnesota Vikings9New England Patriots9New Orleans Saints10.5New York Giants6.5New York Jets6.5Philadelphia Eagles9.5Pittsburgh Steelers9.5San Francisco 49ers10.5Seattle Seahawks9.5Tampa Bay Buccaneers9.5Tennessee Titans8.5Washington Football Team5
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Largest Improvement to Largest Drop-Off
Expectations have jumped for a handful of teams in the NFL from a win total perspective. The largest leap is the Detroit Lions, who finished with a disappointing 3–12–1 record in 2019 as their win total is 6.5 this season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have elevated expectations after Tom Brady signed with them in free agency as the Bucs have a win total of 9.5 following a 7–9 campaign.
The three teams that see a significant drop in their win total from last season compared to their 2019 record are all division champions. The Green Bay Packers posted a solid 13–3 record in 2019, but their 2020 NFL win total sits at only 9 for the upcoming campaign. The Ravens, as mentioned above, own a win total of 11.5, which is three fewer wins than the 14 they mustered last season, which was the best regular season in franchise history. The NFC champion San Francisco 49ers enter the season with a 10.5 win total after putting up 13 victories this past season.
Toughest and Weakest Divisions
The toughest division from a win total standpoint is the NFC West, in which the four teams have a combined 35.5 win total.
NFC West
San Francisco 49ers 10.5
Seattle Seahawks 9.5
Los Angeles Rams 8.5
Arizona Cardinals 7.5
The weakest division is the AFC South, as the highest win total sits with the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans sitting at 9.5 at 8.5 wins respectively, while the Jacksonville Jaguars own one of the lowest win totals in the league at 4.5 victories.
AFC South
Indianapolis Colts 9.5
Tennessee Titans 8.5
Houston Texans 7.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 4.5
2020 Win Totals — Trends to Watch
- Patriots have won double-digit games every season since 2003
- Browns have not won 8 or more games since 2007
- Chiefs have won at least 12 games in three of the last four seasons
- Saints have won 11 games or more each of the last three seasons
- Vikings have not won 9 games or more in consecutive seasons since 2009
- Seahawks have won 9 games or more in eight straight seasons
Nfl Win Total Bets
Updated Sun, Sept. 6, 5:15 PM ET — Consensus Odds Provided by VI — Subject to Change
It was a rough 2016 NFL campaign for sportsbooks. The model of the gambling world being the great leveler and the ‘against the spread’ or ‘ATS’ records bringing the good and bad teams alike back to the middle never came to fruition.
In fact, just the opposite occurred.
The New England Patriots owned the best record in the league at 14–2 and, per Rob Nelson of ESPN Stats & Info, their 13–3 ATS mark (followed by a 3–0 ATS run in the playoffs) also was the best in the league — a full two games better than any other team (the New Orleans Saints were 11–5 ATS). Despite their garnering huge spreads as underdogs, the books had a similar issue with the 1–15 Cleveland Browns, who finished tied for the league’s second-worst ATS record at 5–11. These two teams paved the way for the public’s success; the best team covered week after week while the worst consistently failed to hit its number.
The road to redemption has already begun with the release of the 2017 win totals, but as Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook manager Jeff Sherman explains, the public isn’t yet backing its favorite teams.
‘We have seen no large bets on typical public teams like the Packers, Steelers and Patriots, which is surprising and we don’t expect that to continue,’ he said. ‘Those teams have huge fan bases and we always see support for them.’
So little action has come in on these three that not a single vig, or price you pay to take a line, of theirs has moved at all from its opening position.
So which NFL teams is the public betting so far this offseason?
Oakland Raiders
Opening line: 9.5 wins (over -110)
Current line: 9.5 wins (over -140)
The Westgate has had more action on the Raiders in terms of both total tickets and dollars wagered than any other team.
‘We have taken large bets from the public on the Raiders over 9.5 which we were expecting .. We feel solid about the numbers we put up,’ explains Sherman.
Nfl Who Wins This Week
Perception is reality when you’re a line originator, and because it wasn’t willing to open them at an even 10 wins the Westgate knew the public would rush to bet the over. A $5,000 bet on the Silver and Black is the largest placed thus far.
So what’s the reason for the love?
Could it be that over the past month residents and weekenders alike have stepped to the Vegas counters to back their newly acquired team to show their support? Sure.
More likely, though, is that the river of public money flows downstream based on whatever happened last, be it week to week during the season or based on last year’s results in the offseason.
The Raiders were a solid contender until quarterback Derek Carr’s brutal broken leg in Week 16 that ended his season. This action points to the public thinking that they’ll sit atop the AFC West once more come January.
New York Jets
Opening line: 5 wins (under -110)
Current line: 5 wins (under -150)
The Westgate hasn’t moved any team’s line off its designated opening number, so the shift from -110 to -150 on the under 5 wins constitutes the biggest movement.
Nfl Season Win Totals
An exodus of veteran starters including WRs Brandon Marshall, C Nick Mangold and CB Darrelle Revis has led to the perception that this is a team beyond the limits of what can be considered a mere transition; this is a complete dismantling with the sole purpose of preparing for well beyond 2017. Navi vs liquid live.
That was before the release of LB David Harris and WR Eric Decker this past week, too.
With a roster in shambles and the likes of QBs Josh McCown, Bryce Petty and Christian Hackenberg competing for the starting role, the under is becoming more and more tempting.
If any line was going to move before training camp, this seems to be the one. Sherman explained that he ‘could see it continue to some form of 4.5 down the road.’
My pick: Browns under 4.5 wins
Opening line: 4.5 wins (under -110)
Current line: 4.5 wins (under -130)
Nfl Season Win Total Projections
Even with the vig sliding toward the under, I still think there’s still value here. In each season since 2005 there have been at least four teams that have finished 4–12 or worse, and yet just as in years past, no team is handicapped at less than 4.5 wins.
Why has the number stayed at 4.5? These season-long under bets are hard to stomach both financially, from tying your money up for months at a time, and in terms of stress, from sweating the remaining schedule whenever said team does manage to win.
But that’s why these low unders often have value — multiple teams are going to be bad and few are willing to play the long game in trying to figure out which teams will fill that role.
Although the Browns traded up to select three players in the first round of this year’s draft, I don’t see any class making that immediate of an impact on a team that’s only one year removed from a 1–15 record and allowing the third-most points against (452) while scoring the second fewest (264).
Signing quality starters C JC Tretter and G Kevin Zeitler should help to improve Cleveland, but I’m betting not enough to get to 5–11.
